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Of
Seditions and Troubles
by Francis Bacon
Shepherds of people, had need know the calendars
of tempests in state; which are commonly greatest,
when things grow to equality; as natural tempests
are greatest about the Equinoctia. And as
there are certain hollow blasts of wind, and secret
swellings of seas before a tempest, so are there in
states:
- Ille etiam caecos instare tumultus Saepe
monet, fraudesque et operta tunescere
bella.
Libels and licentious discourses against the
state, when they are frequent and open; and in like
sort, false news often running up and down, to the
disadvantage of the state, and hastily embraced;
are amongst the signs of troubles. Virgil, giving
the pedigree of Fame, saith, she was sister to
the Giants:
- Illam Terra parens, ira irritata deorum,
Extremam (ut perhibent) Coeo Enceladoque sororem
Progenuit.
As if fames were the relics of seditions past;
but they are no less, indeed, the preludes of
seditions to come. Howsoever he noteth it right,
that seditious tumults, and seditious fames, differ
no more but as brother and sister, masculine and
feminine; especially if it come to that, that the
best actions of a state, and the most plausible,
and which ought to give greatest contentment, are
taken in ill sense, and traduced: for that shows
the envy great, as Tacitus saith; conflata magna
invidia, seu bene seu male gesta premunt.
Neither doth it follow, that because these fames
are a sign of troubles, that the suppressing of
them with too much severity, should be a remedy of
troubles. For the despising of them, many times
checks them best; and the going about to stop them,
doth but make a wonder long-lived. Also that kind
of obedience, which Tacitus speaketh of, is to be
held suspected: Erant in officio, sed tamen qui
mallent mandata imperantium interpretari quam
exequi; disputing, excusing, cavilling upon
mandates and directions, is a kind of shaking off
the yoke, and assay of disobedience; especially if
in those disputings, they which are for the
direction, speak fearfully and tenderly, and those
that are against it, audaciously.
Also, as Machiavel noteth well, when princes,
that ought to be common parents, make themselves as
a party, and lean to a side, it is as a boat, that
is overthrown by uneven weight on the one side; as
was well seen, in the time of Henry the Third of
France; for first, himself entered league for the
extirpation of the Protestants; and presently
after, the same league was turned upon himself. For
when the authority of princes, is made but an
accessory to a cause, and that there be other
bands, that tie faster than the band of
sovereignty, kings begin to be put almost out of
possession.
Also, when discords, and quarrels, and factions
are carried openly and audaciously, it is a sign
the reverence of government is lost. For the
motions of the greatest persons in a government,
ought to be as the motions of the planets under
primum mobile; according to the old opinion:
which is, that every of them, is carried swiftly by
the highest motion, and softly in their own motion.
And therefore, when great ones in their own
particular motion, move violently, and, as Tacitus
expresseth it well, liberius quam ut imperantium
meminissent; it is a sign the orbs are out of
frame. For reverence is that? wherewith princes are
girt from God; who threateneth the dissolving
thereof; Solvam cingula regum.
So when any of the four pillars of government,
are mainly shaken, or weakened (which are religion,
justice, counsel, and treasure), men had need to
pray for fair weather. But let us pass from this
part of predictions (concerning which,
nevertheless, more light may be taken from that
which followeth); and let us speak first, of the
materials of seditions; then of the motives of
them; and thirdly of the remedies.
Concerning the materials of seditions. It is a
thing well to be considered; for the surest way to
prevent seditions (if the times do bear it) is to
take away the matter of them. For if there be fuel
prepared, it is hard to tell, whence the spark
shall come, that shall set it on fire. The matter
of seditions is of two kinds: much poverty, and
much discontentment. It is certain, so many
overthrown estates, so many votes for troubles.
Lucan noteth well the state of Rome before the
Civil War,
- Hinc usura vorax, rapidumque in tempore
foenus, Hinc concussa fides, et multis utile
bellum.
This same multis utile bellum, is an
assured and infallible sign, of a state disposed to
seditions and troubles. And if this poverty and
broken estate in the better sort, be joined with a
want and necessity in the mean people, the danger
is imminent and great. For the rebellions of the
belly are the worst. As for discontentments, they
are, in the politic body, like to humors in the
natural, which are apt to gather a preternatural
heat, and to inflame. And let no prince measure the
danger of them by this, whether they be just or
unjust: for that were to imagine people, to be too
reasonable; who do often spurn at their own good:
nor yet by this, whether the griefs whereupon they
rise, be in fact great or small: for they are the
most dangerous discontentments, where the fear is
greater than the feeling. Dolendi modus, timendi
non item. Besides, in great oppressions, the
same things that provoke the patience, do withal
mate the courage; but in fears it is not so.
Neither let any prince, or state, be secure
concerning discontentments, because they have been
often, or have been long, and yet no peril hath
ensued: for as it is true, that every vapor or fume
doth not turn into a storm; so it is nevertheless
true, that storms, though they blow over divers
times, yet may fall at last; and, as the Spanish
proverb noteth well, The cord breaketh at the
last by the weakest pull.
The causes and motives of seditions are,
innovation in religion; taxes; alteration of laws
and customs; breaking of privileges; general
oppression; advancement of unworthy persons;
strangers; dearths; disbanded soldiers; factions
grown desperate; and what soever, in offending
people, joineth and knitteth them in a common
cause.
For the remedies; there may be some general
preservatives, whereof we will speak: as for the
just cure, it must answer to the particular
disease; and so be left to counsel, rather than
rule.
The first remedy or prevention is to remove, by
all means possible, that material cause of sedition
whereof we spake; which is, want and poverty in the
estate. To which purpose serveth the opening, and
well-balancing of trade; the cherishing of
manufactures; the banishing of idleness; the
repressing of waste, and excess, by sumptuary laws;
the improvement and husbanding of the soil; the
regulating of prices of things vendible; the
moderating of taxes and tributes; and the like.
Generally, it is to be foreseen that the population
of a kingdom (especially if it be not mown down by
wars) do not exceed the stock of the kingdom, which
should maintain them. Neither is the population to
be reckoned only by number; for a smaller number,
that spend more and earn less, do wear out an
estate sooner, than a greater number that live
lower, and gather more. Therefore the multiplying
of nobility, and other degrees of quality, in an
over proportion to the common people, doth speedily
bring a state to necessity; and so doth likewise an
overgrown clergy; for they bring nothing to the
stock; and in like manner, when more are bred
scholars, than preferments can take off.
It is likewise to be remembered, that forasmuch
as the increase of any estate must be upon the
foreigner (for whatsoever is somewhere gotten, is
somewhere lost), there be but three things, which
one nation selleth unto another; the commodity as
nature yieldeth it; the manufacture; and the
vecture, or carriage. So that if these three wheels
go, wealth will flow as in a spring tide. And it
cometh many times to pass, that materiam
superabit opus; that the work and carriage is
more worth than the material, and enricheth a state
more; as is notably seen in the Low-Countrymen, who
have the best mines above ground, in the world.
Above all things, good policy is to be used,
that the treasure and moneys, in a state, be not
gathered into few hands. For otherwise a state may
have a great stock, and yet starve. And money is
like muck, not good except it be spread. This is
done, chiefly by suppressing, or at least keeping a
strait hand, upon the devouring trades of usury,
ingrossing great pasturages, and the like.
For removing discontentments, or at least the
danger of them; there is in every state (as we
know) two portions of subjects; the noblesse and
the commonalty. When one of these is discontent,
the danger is not great; for common people are of
slow motion, if they be not excited by the greater
sort; and the greater sort are of small strength,
except the multitude be apt, and ready to move of
themselves. Then is the danger, when the greater
sort, do but wait for the troubling of the waters
amongst the meaner, that then they may declare
themselves. The poets feign, that the rest of the
gods would have bound Jupiter; which he hearing of,
by the counsel of Pallas, sent for Briareus, with
his hundred hands, to come in to his aid. An
emblem, no doubt, to show how safe it is for
monarchs, to make sure of the good will of common
people. To give moderate liberty for griefs and
discontentments to evaporate (so it be without too
great insolency or bravery), is a safe way. For he
that turneth the humors back, and maketh the wound
bleed inwards, endangereth malign ulcers, and
pernicious imposthumations.
The part of Epimetheus mought well become
Prometheus, in the case of discontentments: for
there is not a better provision against them.
Epimetheus, when griefs and evils flew abroad, at
last shut the lid, and kept hope in the bottom of
the vessel. Certainly, the politic and artificial
nourishing, and entertaining of hopes, and carrying
men from hopes to hopes, is one of the best
antidotes against the poison of discontentments.
And it is a certain sign of a wise government and
proceeding, when it can hold men's hearts by hopes,
when it cannot by satisfaction; and when it can
handle things, in such manner, as no evil shall
appear so peremptory, but that it hath some outlet
of hope; which is the less hard to do, because both
particular persons and factions, are apt enough to
flatter themselves, or at least to brave that,
which they believe not.
Also the foresight and prevention, that there be
no likely or fit head, whereunto discontented
persons may resort, and under whom they may join,
is a known, but an excellent point of caution. I
understand a fit head, to be one that hath
greatness and reputation; that hath confidence with
the discontented party, and upon whom they turn
their eyes; and that is thought discontented, in
his own particular: which kind of persons, are
either to be won, and reconciled to the state, and
that in a fast and true manner; or to be fronted
with some other, of the same party, that may oppose
them, and so divide the reputation. Generally, the
dividing and breaking, of all factions and
combinations that are adverse to the state, and
setting them at distance, or at least distrust,
amongst themselves, is not one of the worst
remedies. For it is a desperate case, if those that
hold with the proceeding of the state, be full of
discord and faction, and those that are against it,
be entire and united.
I have noted, that some witty and sharp
speeches, which have fallen from princes, have
given fire to seditions. Caesar did himself
infinite hurt in that speech, Sylla nescivit
literas, non potuit dictare; for it did utterly
cut off that hope, which men had entertained, that
he would at one time or other give over his
dictatorship. Galba undid himself by that speech,
legi a se militem, non emi; for it put the
soldiers out of hope of the donative. Probus
likewise, by that speech, Si vixero, non opus
erit amplius Romano imperio militibus; a speech
of great despair for the soldiers. And many the
like. Surely princes had need, in tender matters
and ticklish times, to beware what they say;
especially in these short speeches, which fly
abroad like darts, and are thought to be shot out
of their secret intentions. For as for large
discourses, they are flat things, and not so much
noted.
Lastly, let princes, against all events, not be
without some great person, one or rather more, of
military valor, near unto them, for the repressing
of seditions in their beginnings. For without that,
there useth to be more trepidation in court upon
the first breaking out of troubles, than were fit.
And the state runneth the danger of that which
Tacitus saith; Atque is habitus animorum fuit,
ut pessimum facinus auderent pauci, plures vellent,
omnes paterentur. But let such military persons
be assured, and well reputed of, rather than
factious and popular; holding also good
correspondence with the other great men in the
state; or else the remedy, is worse than the
disease.
Excerpted from The Essays of
Francis Bacon, by Francis Bacon
Biography
in The Radical Academy: Francis Bacon
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