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-- This essay originally appeared in
PLAYBOY, January 1966. --
The Great
Books of 2066
by Mortimer J. Adler, Ph.D.
Part One
Of the 74 authors included in Great Books of
the Western World, only three -- Leo
Tolstoy, William James and Sigmund Freud --
straddle. the line that separates the past from the
present century; and of these, Freud more than
either Tolstoy or James is truly a 20th Century
figure. I would give heavy odds that any literate
person in 2066, asked to name the great books of
the 20th Century, would put Freud on his list.
Who else would be on it? When the 20th Century
is over, and enough time has elapsed to make a
sober judgment about this century's
accomplishments, how many of its authors will be
elected to join the company of the 70 or more
illustrious names that represent the peaks of
literature and thought in the long stretch from
Homer to the end of the 19th Century?
Fascinated by that question, I recently drew up
a list of 50 nominees -- 50 candidates who might be
considered in 2066. Before I name them and give you
my best guess about which of them will survive and
flourish in the minds of our descendants, let me
tell you my reason for thinking that, when the
final tally is in, the number is likely to be not
less than 10 and not more than 15, or 20 at the
most.
Considering the 74 authors in Great Books of
the Western World, I have plotted their
distribution in the past and have come up with some
figures that serve to guide us in thinking about
the present century. One writer -- Homer -- belongs
to the remote past. The 300 years from the Fifth to
the Third Century B.C. give us 12 names: Aeschylus,
Sophocles, Euripides, Aristophanes, Herodotus,
Thucydides, Hippocrates, Plato, Aristotle, Euclid,
Archimedes and Apollonius. In the 600 years from
the First Century B.C. to the Fifth Century A.D.,
we have only 11 comparable figures: Galen,
Lucretius, Virgil, Nicomachus, Epictetus, Marcus
Aurelius, Plutarch, Tacitus, Ptolemy, Plotinus,
Augustine. Then, after a long break, we find 8
great authors in the 400 years that cover the
closing days of the Middle Ages and the beginning
of modern times: Dante, Aquinas, Chaucer,
Copernicus, Gilbert, Machiavelli, Rabelais,
Montaigne.
The 17th, 18th and 19th Centuries taken together
account for considerably more than half of the
total list. If we regard the present century as the
beginning of postmodern times, then the modern
epoch, comprising these three centuries, has done
better -- at least quantitatively -- than the 20 or
more preceding centuries. The 17th Century, called
"the century of genius" by Whitehead, produced 14
authors of great books (Galileo, Kepler, Newton,
Huygens, Harvey, Cervantes, Shakespeare, Milton,
Hobbes, Bacon, Descartes, Spinoza, Pascal, Locke);
the 18th Century -- the age of the enlightenment"
-- produced 13 greats (Berkeley, Hume, Boswell,
Swift, Sterne, Fielding, Montesquieu, Rousseau,
Adam Smith, Gibbon, Kant, Lavoisier, and the three
collaborating writers of the Federalist Papers here
treated as one -- Hamilton, Madison and Jay); and
the 19th Century produced 12 (Hegel, Goethe, J. S.
Mill, Darwin, Marx, Engels, Melville, Fourier,
Faraday, Tolstoy, Dostoievsky and William
James).
If we plot the curve and dare to extrapolate it
on so little evidence, we might conclude that our
century would produce only 11. But there are
altered circumstances that tend to modify this
predication. On the one hand, there are so many
more books being written and published in this
century than ever before that we might reasonably
expect the trend to be reversed. Our times may
produce between 15 and 20 great authors -- more
than any previous century by far. On the other
hand, as I will explain presently, the conditions
under which intellectual work is done in the 20th
Century may lead to the opposite result -- a
smaller number of great books in spite of the
larger number of books published.
I mentioned earlier a list of 50 authors writing
in this century who deserved consideration as among
the possible greats of our time. This list was
presented last spring on the back page of an
advertising supplement that appeared in The New
York Times and the Chicago Tribune, to
celebrate the 25th anniversary of the publication
of Great Books of the Western World. The
readers of that supplement were asked to choose the
ten that they thought were the most likely
candidates for lasting eminence. The response
confirmed my belief that people generally like to
play this guessing game about the future. (A list
of the first 12 authors appears at the end of this
article). I hasten to remind PLAYBOY readers
that the name of Freud is omitted from this list
only because Freud is the one 20th Century author
included in Great Books of the Western
World.)
Not to deter, but rather to provoke its readers
to engage in this parlor sport, PLAYBOY
asked Mr. Fadiman and me to draw up our own list of
great authors -- as seen from the vantage point of
2066. Mr. Fadiman and I decided to divide the task.
He took the general area of belles lettres -- the
domain, as he puts it, of the men of imagination.
That left me with everything else -- the domain of
the men of thought.
It is conceivable that some great contemporary
figures might fall into both camps. In fact,
however, we found little overlapping -- Sartre is
the main exception -- and so the division of labor
worked out well. Mr. Fadiman, therefore, treats the
contemporary poets, novelists, dramatists and
critics who have written what he thinks will be
considered great books in 2066. I deal with the
contemporary philosophers, scientists and
historians whose works, in my judgment, the human
race will continue to return to in the future. (It
should be observed here that we agreed to consider
only Western authors. The reason for this decision
is not good, but it is obvious. Neither of us knows
enough about the literature of the Far East to make
a responsible judgment.)
Mr. Fadiman and I realize that we are sticking
our necks out in making judgments of this sort.
Making private guesses about the greats of the
present century is one thing -- just good, clean
fun; but publishing one's guesses with an air of
authority is quite another. Hence I, for one, want
to protect myself just a little by hedging, in two
ways, the predictions I am about to make. (Mr.
Fadiman also can nudge himself under this
protective umbrella if he wants to.)
In the first place, the creativity of human
beings is unpredictable. Not all the men or women
who may produce significant books in this century
have yet begun to write. A third of the century
remains. The next 30 years may see the production
of works that outshine most of the books with which
we are at present acquainted. Hence any projection
in 1966 of the judgments that will be made in 2066
about this century's writing must have the
inevitable defect of shortsightedness.
In the second place, the contingencies of
history itself are unpredictable. This is an era of
rapid change, not only in technology, but also in
education, in world political alignments and in
warfare. It is conceivable, the world being what it
is, that a system of education might be imposed on
the human race sometime in the next hundred years
that would sharply limit the capacity of our
descendants to become acquainted with some of the
authors on my list of future greats. That would
exclude these writers from consideration in 2066,
quite apart from the merits of their work. A
radical change in world political alignments might
have a similar effect. If, for example, Communist
China is ruling the world -- or what is left of it
-- in 2066, any list of great books drawn up then
in Peking would differ markedly from Mr. Fadiman's
proposals and mine. If another world war deprives
man of civilization and all that it entails, it is
conceivable that the only book to endure might be a
well-thumbed copy of the Army's survival
manual.
With these caveats, I am almost ready to
name the 20th Century writers who, in my judgment,
stand a good chance of joining the greats of all
time. I said "almost ready" because, before doing
that, I would like to discuss the criteria for
judging whether or not a writer in the domain of
thought -- a philosopher, a scientist or a
historian -- deserves to be classed with
Thucydides, Plato, Aristotle, Euclid, Aquinas,
Galileo, Newton, Kant, Darwin and Marx -- to whom
must now be added Freud. What makes the 11 authors
I have just named so unquestionably great that the
excellences in which they abound can be used as the
measure for judging others?
Over the years, trying to answer the question,
What makes a very few books truly great books? I
have gathered together a set of criteria for
selecting that few from all the rest. I formulated
some of these 25 years ago when I wrote How to
Read a Book; some emerged in the course of the
editorial conferences that we held to select the
works to be included in Great Books of the
Western World; and some I have come upon
more recently in explaining the role of the great
books in liberal education. In restating them here
for the purpose of predicting who are likely to be
the great authors of the 20th Century, I am going
to put them down in a form that is most applicable
to writers who are men of thought rather than men
of imagination.
1. Great books are original communications.
Their authors are communicating what they
themselves have discovered, not repeating what they
have learned by reading the books of other men.
2. Great books have intellectual amplitude; each
draws light from and throws light on a large number
and variety of ideas, all of them basic.
3. Great books are universally relevant and
always contemporary; that is, they deal with the
common problems of thought and action that confront
men in every age and every clime.
4. Great books are the only books that may be
deemed indispensable, every one of them, to a
genuine, sound liberal education.
5. Great books are the only books that never
have to be written again -- that do so well what
they set out to do that they cannot be improved
upon. (For this simple but penetrating statement
about the nature of a great book, I am grateful to
my friend Carl Van Doren.)
6. Great books are inexhaustible; they are
indefinitely reread-able, each time with additional
profit; understandable to some degree on the first
reading, they continue to deepen our understanding
every time we reread them, and we can never exhaust
their power to enlighten us; no matter how many
times we read them, there is always more for us to
understand.
7. Great books are addressed to human beings,
not to some special group of students, scholars or
experts; they are seldom written by professors and,
if they are, they are never written exclusively for
professors.
These seven qualities intrinsic to great books
account for two further properties that adhere to
them extrinsically: They tend to exert a lasting
influence on human life and thought; and they tend
to be widely read; seldom if ever best sellers,
they are the only perennial sellers.
It should be immediately obvious that very few
books in any epoch reach the pinnacle of excellence
set by these seven criteria taken together. Some of
them are so stringent -- especially the fifth and
sixth -- that if one were to apply them strictly,
without the quality of mercy that tempers justice,
not even all the works included in Great Books
of the Western World would survive the test.
Instead of 74 authors, there might be no more than
30, perhaps fewer, who would stand up as the
unquestionable greats of the last 25 centuries. In
that case, to expect to find as many as 10 in the
20th Century would be an exorbitant demand.
In addition, so far as the sphere of thought is
concerned, I am embarrassed by a fact about 20th
Century authors that does not apply to the writers
being considered by Mr. Fadiman. Most of the
important works in the field of science, history
and philosophy are written by professors for
professors and so, even when they are books instead
of monographs or periodical articles, they fall
short of being great books by the criteria
enumerated above. Hence I will have to relax my
criteria somewhat, or apply them with some
latitude, in order to select the authors who, in
2066, will be recognized as deserving to rank with
Thucydides, Plato, Aristotle, Euclid, Aquinas,
Galileo, Newton, Kant, Darwin, Marx and Freud.
-- To
Part Two --
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