|
BOOK
REVIEW
The Complete
TurtleTrader: The Legend, the Lessons, the
Results
by Michael W.
Covel
Collins - October
2007
Order
at Amazon Books
Order
at Powell's Books
Reviewed by Dr. Jonathan Dolhenty
If readers want to learn some practical
principles about financial investing, Michael
Covel's new book, The Complete TurtleTrader,
will probably provide them to most readers. This is
an interesting guidebook to tactics and strategies
which should raise anyone's ability to trade in the
marketplace. Since I am not in the financial
markets anymore and have no personal need of such
information, my attention was drawn to an
underlying issue that Covel presents and discusses
because it was at the heart of the TurtleTrader
phenomenon. This issue is an old one; it has been
around and discussed for centuries; it has never
been adequately resolved to everyone's
satisfaction. The issue is that of "Nature" versus
"Nurture."
According to Covel, Wall Street trader Richard
Dennis engaged in an argument (friendly, of course)
with fellow trader William Eckhardt about whether
trading ability was "innate" or could be taught.
Dennis believed that the principles of investing
could be taught to anyone. Eckhardt disagreed,
believing that the facility for successful trading
was "inborn." Was it, in other words, a matter of
"Nature" or "Nurture" when it came to successful
trading in the financial markets? Biology or
society? Genetics or environment? Heredity or
culture? The argument can be defined in a number of
ways and has been the subject of intense
investigation -- philosophically, for ages, and
scientifically, for at least a century -- with no
definitive answer in sight. Probably, a more
realistic approach would be to view the matter as
along a spectrum with nature at one end and nurture
at the other. Where, then, does the "truth" lie
along that spectrum? In the middle? More toward the
"nature" end? Or toward the "nurture" end?
It would seem, if I correctly understand the
gist of this "experiment" in trading behavior, that
Dennis wins the argument hands down and that
"Nurture" takes the prize. The so-called
"TurtleTraders" were recruited from a classified ad
which offered to train a small group of applicants
as commodity futures traders and no experience was
necessary. Indeed, it would seem to me to be
required that any previous sort of trading
experience be prohibited lest the variables in this
"experiment" be tainted. But, of course, strictly
speaking, this was not a scientific experiment at
all and so the options could be, and in fact were,
less restricted and constrained. The Turtle traders
were trained in the rules for entering and exiting
trades, provided with personal lessons by both
Dennis and Eckhardt, and were each given one
million dollars to trade however they decided. All
they had to do was follow the Turtle trading
system. In the end, the TurtleTraders are said to
have made $100 million for Richard Dennis. Some of
the Turtles went on to successful independent
trading, accumulating riches on their own. OK, well
and good, and my hat's off to Richard Dennis and
the other successful traders.
The problem for those of us interested in the
whole Nature vs. Nurture debate is, of course, that
this "experiment" was a singular event in one area
of human activity and, furthermore, an activity
that most people do not engage in. Does it really
tell us anything beyond what Covel relates in his
book? I have to submit, not much. At least, that
is, about the whole Nature vs. Nurture debate.
Dennis' investigation or "test" is interesting,
yes. Conclusions to be drawn: not many, if any at
all. The reasons for this, I think, are obvious and
I mention in passing only a few. There apparently
was no theoretical structure involved in designing
the procedure, no "controlled" environment for the
sake of comparison, no accounting for independent
or dependent variables, and no replication for the
sake of prediction or checking the results. The
whole matter essentially involved a simple argument
and no genuine hypothesis was put forth for
examination. So, actually, this was not a genuine
experiment at all, although I think the whole story
is an entertaining read.
I do not doubt that many readers, particularly
those interested in financial investing, will learn
much from Covel's book about the ins and outs of
successful investing. This is, after all, "the true
story of the simple investing system that beats
Wall Street's best," as the dust cover of the book
advertises. Furthermore, the book is about a man
who became and still is a legend among the
financial investing crowd. That, in itself, makes
the book worthwhile. But as far as the whole Nature
vs. Nurture debate is concerned, there is not
anything to be concluded from the reading. Those
readers who are really interested in that debate
and its consequences will have to look elsewhere.
That being said, I highly recommend the book
because of the lessons that can be learned from and
about those who participated in Dennis' fascinating
"experiment," as well as the principles of the
system that Dennis employed in making this, at
least, a singular, successful experience for the
participants.
Order at Amazon.com
The
Complete TurtleTrader: The Legend, the Lessons,
the Results, by Michael W. Covel
Order at Powell's Books
The
Complete TurtleTrader: The Legend, the Lessons,
the Results, by Michael W.
Covel
|
|