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BOOK
REVIEW
Black
Gold: The New Frontier in Oil for
Investors
by George
Orwel
Wiley - June 2006
Order
at Amazon Books
Order
at Powell's Books
Reviewed by Dr. Jonathan Dolhenty
First, a disclaimer. I no longer have financial
investments in the stock or bond markets so I do
not keep up to date on the details of their
activities, although I do check the ups and downs
of the Dow, NASDAQ, and the S & P on a daily
basis. While George Orwel's Black Gold
should appeal to active investors, particularly to
those involved in or considering the oil and
natural gas markets, it's primary appeal to me was
the background the author supplies in Parts One and
Part Two of his book regarding the oil industry in
general, especially its past development, its
current status, and its probable future.
All of us are impacted by the oil industry in
one way or the other and the future of oil (most
recently its price at the gas pump!) is of vital
concern to virtually everyone. Furthermore, the
problem of oil conservation, the controversies
surrounding air pollution and global-warming, the
possibility of running out of oil sometime in the
future, and the urgency of developing alternative
fuels are all "hot topics" right now, both in the
national and international press as well as among
ordinary consumers.
Part One of Orwel's book is entitled "The End of
Oil" and asks the question: is this "The End of an
Era?" Then the book discusses the consequences of
an oil peak and probes the matter of alternative
fuels, from solar and nuclear energy to wind and
even wood. Orwel discusses the advantages and
disadvantages of each alternative fuel source and
includes information regarding the potential
investment value of each alternative.
Part Two is entitled "The Middle East Problem"
and asks the question "Is the Saudi Oil Supply
Adequate?" and discusses the "Iraqi Oil Supply and
the Battle of Baghdad." Orwel offers an insider's
view of Saudi Arabia and other countries in the
Middle East, including a discussion how much trust
can be placed in what these oil-producing countries
say they can produce versus the reality of what
they actually can produce. Orwel here provides
essential information for the regular oil consumer,
but especially important information for the
potential investor.
As I have already mentioned, these were the two
parts which most interested me and I think will be
of interest to most general readers. Part Three, on
the other hand, tends to be rather technical but
will appeal to anyone involved currently in the
financial markets or considering investments in the
oil industry. Orwel provides much detailed data
about the ins and outs and ups and downs of the oil
market, more than I could internalize during just a
general reading of the material. There are detailed
charts and graphs which are used to argue that now
may be the best time to invest in the oil industry
and how to discover the most profitable
opportunities. Investors will probably love all the
figures and analyses he provides, while the casual
reader may ignore them without any loss of content
important to the ordinary consumer.
However, what I have said about Part Three of
the book (that its main appeal will be with actual
or potential investors) does have one exception.
The first chapter of Part Three -- "Why and How Oil
Prices Soared" -- may be of interest to the general
reader but, again, it is a very detailed discussion
and may require one (as it did me) to slow down a
bit and even go over the material again. For those
with the time and interest, however, Orwel's
discussion of the topic is definitely worth the
effort. He certainly provides an important
explanation for the recent surge in oil prices
which goes far beyond that provided to the ordinary
consumer by the national news and the political
pundits.
Generally, then, Black Gold can be read
on two levels. First, Orwel offers the general
reader an interesting and understandable discussion
of the historical development of the oil industry,
an analysis of past oil crises and the current
issues which are impacting us now, and a look into
the possible future surrounding oil exploration and
production. Second, Orwel offers the investment
community an in-depth analysis regarding the issues
of supply and demand, provides a guide to the
opportunities available to those currently holding
oil investments and to those seeking to profit from
investments in the oil industry, and discusses
various types of investments from mutual funds to
exchange-traded funds (ETFs), from SPACs, STARTs
and hedge funds to superfunds and private
equity.
The author certainly has impressive credentials.
He is an oil analyst and writer for both the Oil
Daily and Petroleum Intelligence Weekly,
with six years spent as a reporter on the oil
market for Dow Jones Newswires. He has also
appeared many times on major news outlets such as
CNN and National Public Radio. Orwell's book
concludes with a section on "Fuel Facts" and a
feature entitled "Some Questions to Test Your
Energy Knowledge." It also includes a bibliography
with notes and a comprehensive index. In
conclusion, Black Gold is both practical and
informative and an excellent read for both the
general consumer and the interested investor.
Order at Amazon.com
Black
Gold: The New Frontier in Oil for Investors, by
George Orwel
Order at Powell's Books
Black
Gold: The New Frontier in Oil for Investors, by
George Orwel
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