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July 12, 2005
Conspiracy
Theories
by Gordon Francis Corbett
Here are some basic facts about conspiracy
theories.
Conspiracy theories connect a few known
historical facts to show that powerful men have
caused unpleasant political or economic events.
This idea has some basic plausibility, because life
teaches that any great change requires considerable
effort from many people. The secret is knowing how
to "connect the dots," and knowing which dots
connect properly with which.
Conspiracy theorists must guess, they say,
because powerful people "classify" the facts that
would let them reason convincingly. For several
reasons, this allegation usually falls on deaf
ears.
First, the speaker's chain of reasoning usually
does not stand up, because the leaders have
sequestered many of the facts needed to
substantiate his allegations.
Second, many listeners believe that patriotism
requires support for their leaders. They think that
if the leaders are secretive, their secrecy results
from good reasons. Therefore, the listeners reject
the speaker's solution, which usually is the
responsible officeholder's ouster.
Third, because the listeners believe in loyalty
to their leaders, the speaker's agitation
discredits him as an unworthy malcontent.
These reasons and more militate against any
attempt to persuade uninformed people that an
official, or an official's policies, can be
bad.
Furthermore, people despise conspiracy theories
because they are only plausible. A good
illustration comes from office politics. We have
all seen fellow employees lay out beautifully
reasoned theories about management's future
decisions, only to have events prove them wrong.
The employees were trying to deduce from
insufficient evidence, and the evidence was
insufficient because the bosses were
secretive.
In "A Scandal in Bohemia," Sherlock Holmes
advised Dr. Watson, "It is a capital mistake to
theorize before one has data. Insensibly, one
begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of
theories to suit facts."
Holmes had a point; nevertheless, one rarely
knows when his facts suffice to make a given
conclusion solid. We need to know what knowledge is
and how it works. A sound grasp of this subject is
necessary not only for the doctor, the lawyer, or
the juror, but also for the average citizen. He
needs to take the time to assemble seemingly
disparate facts if he wants to surmise, and
possibly even to frustrate, his supposed betters'
plans for his future.
Here is a case showing why. In 1940, a U. S.
Navy Commander Arthur McCollum wrote a memorandum
suggesting eight separate steps that President
Roosevelt implemented. This memorandum was secret,
but the measures themselves were not. They
involved, among other things, moving our Pacific
Fleet from the West Coast to Hawaii, aiding China
in its war with Japan, and cutting off exports of
metals and oil to Japan.
One could argue that if the average American
citizen had pondered why the president did these
seemingly unconnected steps, maybe someone could
have realized that Roosevelt wanted the Japanese to
attack us. Then, by making a number of telephone
calls or writing an article, maybe he could have
saved the lives lost at Pearl Harbor.
Today, we have a great advantage that no
American had in 1941: the Internet. If we invest
the necessary time, the Internet can help us learn
an awful lot about our Establishment's plans, from
Agenda 21, to the Free Trade Area of the Americas
(FTAA), and a lot more. Then, we can see how these
data fit into our picture-puzzle future.
We must remember that the mosaics we create will
only be educated guesses; and, even if they are
correct, the decision-makers may change their plans
in some way that will "prove" our pictures
wrong.
Still, the pooh-bahs cannot hide everything. We
may not know when Bush will announce the FTAA
treaty, but we can tell our Congress that if they
pass it, it will put our nation on a conveyor-belt
to extinction. We can do that because we know that
another regional government, the European Coal and
Steel Community, eventually became the European
Union, and because the European Union's whole
purpose is to abolish its separate
countries.
Nevertheless, we must remember that facts alone,
however accurate, and predictions alone, however
sound, cannot suffice. We must be able to show our
fellow victims why a given program or decision is
wrong.
We must lay proper foundations. If we simply
assert that Agenda 21 is part of a plan to subvert
American industry by paying companies tax breaks to
leave our country, or that the Kyoto Treaty
Protocols form a blueprint for crippling the
industries we have left, our listeners may not
believe us, because they lack the data necessary to
let them see.
The problem is background. If our listeners
believe that our country needs uncompromised
sovereignty, we can show them why FTAA is bad. If
they believe that having foreign firms make parts
for our fighter planes is stupid at best, we can
lead them to wonder why our leaders would indulge
in such stupidity. If they believe that they have a
right to buy a house, we can show them why Agenda
21's "smart growth," which would have cities limit
single-family homes, is morally wrong.
We need to show our friends known and
agreed-upon facts, and to ask whether they want our
public servants to act as the facts
indicate.
If they say, "No," we should ask if these
"servants" respect their rights. If they say, "No,"
again, they might be ready to read a copy of
something simple, like Bastiat's "The Law,"
followed perhaps by Hazlitt's "Economics in One
Lesson."
Then, perhaps, they could read Ayn Rand's "The
Virtue of Selfishness." With that foundation, they
may want to read the rest of Rand's non-fiction
works, or Gary Allen's books, Alan Stang's "The
Actor," James Perloff's "Shadows of Power," or G.
Edward Griffin's "The Fearful Master."
Our friends need to take baby-steps like these
for at least two reasons. First, simply reading the
books requires them to punch holes in their already
crowded schedules. Second, the subconscious
thinking that the books inspire takes more time.
Our friends are reading disturbing books of history
and political theory that will change their
attitudes and their lives. The Japanese have a
saying that bears here: "Great ships change course
slowly."
In short, conspiracy theories are wonderful for
cognoscenti who have studied for a long time. They
consolidate, and perhaps rearrange, matter already
learned. If you have read many books like John
Stormer's "None Dare Call It Treason," Gary Allen's
"The Rockefeller File," and Antony Sutton's
"National Suicide," you have travelled a long way
down the road.
Our uninitiated friends barely know that a road
exists, and they must crawl before they walk. Once
they read some of our books, and learn enough to
form at least a fuzzy picture of the true
situation, we might lend them a copy of Mr. Hoar's
"Architects of Conspiracy" or of G. Edward
Griffin's "The Creature from Jekyll Island" to let
them fill in the details. Days later, when they
telephone, we will hear their screams of
outrage.
At that point, the cycle resumes. Armed with
Rand's, Hoar's, Stormer's, Allen's, Stang's,
Smoot's, Sutton's, and similar authors' works, our
friends will be able to do what H. L. "Bill"
Richardson described in his very good and very
cheap 1965 book, "Slightly to the Right!" They will
be able to start helping their friends to learn
what they know.
And then, other things being equal, we will be a
little bit closer to winning.
Corbett
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