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All The Following Items Were Posted On January
1, 2008
FROM
THE MORTIMER ADLER FILE
Certainty and Probability: The words
"certainty" and "probability" do not apply to
propositions that are either true or false. These
propositions entertained by us with suspended
judgment should never be qualified as either
certain or probable.
In the Anglo-American common law there are
degrees of certainty and doubt/ Certainty attaches
to judgments beyond the shadow of doubt; not
certain are judgments made with a reasonable doubt'
and less certain still are judgments made by a
preponderance of the evidence.
The last two are judgments to which some degree
of probability must be attached, the former more
probably, the latter less probable.
The propositions in each of these two cases,
when entertained with suspended judgment, are
either true or false. Certainty and probability
qualify our judgments about the matters under
consideration, not the propositions entertained
with suspended judgment.
This statement brings us to consider what
happens by chance and what is causally determined.
Here we must distinguish between the mathematical
theory of probability and the philosophical theory
of what happens by chance. In the mathematical
theory of probability, which begins with an essay
by Blaise Pascal, one can calculate the chances of
anything happening by the number of possibilities
present; for example, in the toss of a coin, the
chance of its being heads or tails on any toss is
fifty-fifty, because in the long run, with many
tosses, that is how one should wager on the next
toss, if we know that the coin being tossed is not
affected by any extraneous factors.
In the philosophical theory of probability, what
happens by chance is what happens without a cause.
Consider the coincidence of two individuals who
happen to meet on a particular street at a
particular time. Why do we call this a coincidental
meetings, and regard it as an uncaused event?
The answer is that each of the two individuals
is caused to be at that spot where the chance
meeting occurs by all the causal factors operating
in his own past, but nothing in their separate
pasts causes them to meet each other there. The
coincidence is, therefore, an uncaused or a chance
event.
While we are dealing with caused and chance
events, let us spend a moment on the Aristotelian
theory of the four causes -- the material and the
formal cause, the efficient and the final
cause.
In all works of human art, the four causes
operate -- the material cause is the nature of the
materials on which the artist operates, the formal
cause is the productive idea in the artist's mind,
the final cause is the end or purpose that
motivates the artist to produce the work of art,
and the efficient cause is the action of the
artist's hands and tools. But when we depart from
the sphere of artistic production, final causes do
not operate. What happens naturally happens without
any purpose or end to be served.
The critics of Aristotle in modern times who
denied teleology or purpose in the physical world
were correct in dismissing final causes, but they
were incorrect in dismissing the operation of
material, formal, and efficient causes in the works
of nature, corresponding to those in works of
art.
In human activity, free choice as well as
physical causes operate. Freedom of choice is
present when, in deciding on any activity, the
individual could have chosen otherwise. His action
is, therefore, causally determined by the exercise
of his willpower rather than by the kind of causes
that operate in nature.
Human freedom of choice does not make the chosen
decision an uncaused decision, but the operative
efficient cause is not like the efficient causes
that operate in natural phenomena, which are
determinative but unwilled.
It is, therefore, incorrect to think that there
is an irresoluble conflict between free will and
causal determinism. The freely chosen decision is
causally determined, but not in the same way that
events in the physical world are causally
determined.
Source: Adler's
Philosophical Dictionary: 125 Key Terms for the
Philosopher's Lexicon. Have you a copy of
this book in your personal library? If not,
consider getting one. Read Max Weismann's review of
this book by Clicking
Here.
THE
PHILOSOPHERS SPEAK
Charles
Sanders Peirce (1839 - 1914) American
Philosopher
"Peirce is remembered (1) for launching
Pragmatism as a philosophic movement; (2) for his
theory of meaning; (3) for his unwavering
empiricism -- that is, for insisting that all
statements, if not solidly grounded in experience,
are worthless, a mere dream, or, as he put it, pure
moonshine; (4) for his work in semantics; (5) for
his contributions to logic and linear algebra; (6)
for designing the first ever electric
switching-circuit computer." -- Professor James L.
Christian. Read about Charles
Sanders Peirce in The Radical Academy.
- There is no distinction of meaning so fine
as to consist in anything but a possible
difference of practice.
-
- The doctrine of a first cause and the very
idea of miracles vanish with the notion of
causality.
-
- All the progress we have made in philosophy
[since the Greeks] is the result of that
methodical skepticism which is the first element
of human freedom.
-
- The fulcrum has yet to be found that shall
enable the lever of love to move the world.
-
- Wildest dreams are the necessary first steps
toward scientific investigation.
-
- It is the man of science ... devoting all
the energies of his life to the cult of truth,
not as he understands it, but as he does not yet
understand it, that ought properly to be called
a philosopher.
-
- The objections that have been made to my
word "pragmatism" are very trifling. It is the
doctrine that truth consists in future
serviceableness for our needs.
-
- The idea does not belong to the soul; it is
the soul that belongs to the idea.
-
- Every man is fully satisfied that there is
such a thing as truth, or he would not ask any
question.
Source: Volume 1I of The
Wisdom Seekers: Great Philosophers of the Western
World, by James L. Christian. If you want
an excellent and comprehensive history of
philosophy, the two volumes in this set are among
the best available. And I'm not just saying that
because Professor Christian is a personal friend. I
used his introductory textbook in philosophy --
Philosophy:
An Introduction to the Art of Wondering -- when
I was teaching an introduction to philosophy course
many years ago. J.D.
FOR THE
RECORD
1.
CRIME & PUNISHMENT: Toad Away - New Highs In
The War On Drugs
Just mark it down as yet another glorious
victory in the War on Drugs.
A Kansas City, Missouri man has been arrested
and charged with... possessing a toad. More
specifically, possession with the intent to get
high off the toad's venom.
After raiding a home on suspicions that drugs
were being manufactured there, police arrested
David S. Theiss and his toad. To be precise, his
Sonoran Desert toad.
When this breed of toad gets angry or scared, it
secrets a venom containing bufotenin. Bufotenin,
when ingested, is a hallucinogen. Thus the federal
government, ever vigilant of what we do with our
bodies and minds, has outlawed it.
County prosecutor Daniel White was careful to
point out that mere possession of a toad -- even a
Sonoran Desert toad -- is not, per se,
illegal. (After all, this IS a free country!)
But possession with the intent to use its venom
to get high is illegal. And, since Theiss
was charged with several drug offenses -- among
them possessing mescaline, a controlled substance
extracted from a cactus -- he surely must have
owned the toad for sinister reasons. In such cases,
prosecutor White says, the toad is considered "drug
paraphernalia" and owners must face the
consequences.
Naturally, the Internet is part of the menace.
Prosecutor White warns that some Web sites feature
instructional videos on how to extract the venom
and smoke it.
Theiss was released on bond. However, the toad
was kept in custody at a police crime lab.
(Somehow, that doesn't seem fair.)
United Press International reports that Theiss
"is believed to be the first (person) in the Kansas
City area to be charged with toad-licking."
But if vigilant Kansas City Drug Warriors have
their way, he will certainly not be the last.
Source: Associated Press /Kansas City
Star - http://www.kcstar.com.
2.
SCIENCE & MEDIA: Al Gore's Fatuous
Awards
Yes, Al Gore's got an Oscar, a Grammy and a
Nobel Peace Prize.
But will the former veep be allowed to continue
to wallow in his triple award-winning status? Maybe
not.
The New Zealand Centre for Political Research, a
regional think tank, wants Gore to give back the
Oscar he was given for his movie, "An Inconvenient
Truth."
The call for the return of the award is based on
an adjudication by a British judge, who ruled that
the film inconveniently contained nine
untruths.
Because the British government was going to use
Gore's movie to provide instruction to children
about global warming, Stewart Dimmock, a school
official, filed a lawsuit characterizing the Oscar
winner's work as "brainwashing."
The U.K. High Court determined that "Truth" was
"alarmist and exaggerated" and must have a
disclaimer to point out flaws, which included the
following:
- According to Gore, snow is melting on Mount
Kilimanjaro because of global warming. According
to the judge, there is zero evidence to support
the claim.
- According to Gore, sea level will rise 20
feet in the "near future" because of melting
ice. According to the judge, the rise in sea
level could only happen over thousands of
years.
- According to Gore, polar bears drowned due
to global warming and were found swimming "up to
60 miles to find ice." According to the judge,
"Only four polar bears have recently been found
drowned, because of a storm."
- According to Gore, the Antarctic ice is
melting. According to the judge, the Antarctic
ice is increasing.
- According to Gore, Hurricane Katrina was
caused by global warming. According to the
judge, that is scientifically impossible.
The New Zealand think tank summed it up this
way: "Given that the Oscar award was presented in
the documentary category and not the drama
category, the only appropriate action now is for
the Academy to rescind the award as it was clearly
inappropriately classed as a documentary."
Wonder if the members of the Nobel Committee are
listening.
Source: The
Left Coast Report, written by James Hirsen
(media analyst, Trinity Law School professor and
teacher of mass media law at Biola University).
3.
News Brief
New FOIA Reform Bill Passes House &
Senate: The Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
is a rare example of a government program that
actually serves the public. Journalists, citizens,
and all sorts of public interest organizations use
FOIA to bring to light government documents and
information that would otherwise remain hidden from
public view.
Now, public interest groups are applauding the
passage of a bill that aims to fix some of FOIA's
problems. Similar legislation stalled earlier this
year after passing the House and Senate, but the
more recent bill is now poised to make the first
changes to FOIA in more than a decade.
While the legislation isn't perfect, it will
take some steps towards streamlining the process
and creating more accountability, including the
creation of a public tracking system, additional
incentives to ensure timely release of information,
and access to government records held by private
contractors.
Source: The
Electronic Frontier Foundation.
4.
Quote Of The Month
"I practice charity regularly. I believe in
sharing. But when government takes our money by
force and gives it to others, that's not sharing."
-- John Stossel, libertarian journalist &
ABC-TV's 20-20 co-anchor. Source: http://www.nysun.com/article/67601.
Please
Note:
Items in the "For The Record" section do not
necessarily represent the views or opinions of The
Radical Academy. Nor is the Academy responsible for
any misrepresentation of the facts included. It is
your job to be a critical reader. We simply provide
this information as a service to our visitors
because we think it is interesting and/or relevant.
Some of the information in "For The Record" may
have been provided to us by one or more of the
following resources: Advocates
for
Self-Government;
NewsMax.com;
The
Patriot Post;
Media
Research Center;
National
Center for Public Policy
Research;
Foundation
for Individual Rights in
Education.
COUNSELING
CORNER: A Very Special Two-Letter Word In
English...
There is a two-letter word that perhaps has more
meanings than any other two-letter word, and that
is "UP."
It's easy to understand UP, meaning toward the
sky or at the top of the list, but when we awaken
in the morning, why do we wake UP? At a meeting,
why does a topic come UP? Why do we speak UP and
why are the officers UP for election and why is it
UP to the secretary to write UP a report?
We call UP our friends. And we use it to
brighten UP a room, polish UP the silver, we warm
UP the leftovers and clean UP the kitchen. We lock
UP the house and some guys fix UP the old car. At
other times the little word has real special
meaning. People stir UP trouble, line UP for
tickets, work UP an appetite, and think UP excuses.
To be dressed is one thing, but to be dressed UP is
special.
And this UP is confusing: A drain must be opened
UP because it is stopped UP. We open UP a store in
the morning but we close it UP at night.
We seem to be pretty mixed UP about UP! To be
knowledgeable about the proper uses of UP, look the
word UP in the dictionary. In a desk-sized
dictionary, it takes UP almost 1/4th of the page
and can add UP to about thirty definitions. If you
are UP to it, you might try building UP a list of
the many ways UP is used. It will take UP a lot of
your time, but if you don't give UP, you may wind
UP with a hundred or more. When it threatens to
rain, we say it is clouding UP. When the sun comes
out we say it is clearing UP.
When it rains, it wets the earth and often
messes things UP.
When it doesn't rain for awhile, things dry
UP.
One could go on and on, but I'll wrap it UP, for
now, my time is UP, so........... it is time to
shut UP.....!
A
LITTLE OF THIS & A LITTLE OF
THAT
A Little Wisdom: "A high heart ought to
bear calamities and not flee them, since in bearing
them appears the grandeur of the mind and in
fleeing them the cowardice of the heart." -- Pietro
Aretino (1492-1556), Italian poet.
A Little Advice: "Better to write for
yourself and have no public, than to write for the
public and have no self." -- Cyril Connolly
(1903-1974), English writer and journalist.
A Little Question: When it rains, how
come cows don't knock on the farmer's door and say,
"Hey, let us in, we're all wearing leather out
here!"?
A Little Lament: "I was married by a
judge...I should have asked for a jury." -- George
Burns, American actor and humorist.
A Little Put-Down: MAN - "I would go to
the end of the world for you." ; WOMAN - "Yes, but
would you stay there?"
A Little Proverb: All good things in
moderation ..... including moderation.
A Little Reflection: I never married
because there was no need. I have three pets at
home which answer the same purpose as a husband. I
have a dog which growls every morning, a parrot
which swears all afternoon and a cat that comes
home late at night.
A Little Definition: YAWN - An honest
opinion openly expressed.
A Little Quote: "Last week, I stated this
woman was the ugliest woman I had ever seen. I have
since been visited by her sister, and now wish to
withdraw that statement." -- Mark Twain
(1835-1910), American novelist, short-story writer,
and humorist.
A Little Observation: I think God
invented rain to give dead people something to
complain about.
ELSEWHERE
ON THE INTERNET
Some interesting & provocative articles
on other websites:
The
Renaissance of Latin - Why a dead language is
becoming popular, by Emily Wilson: Last year, a
surprise best seller hit the British book market: a
romp through Latin grammar, by a London journalist
called Harry Mount. In Britain, the book was called
Amo, Amas, Amat ... and All That, after the
first verb (to love) encountered in elementary
Latin class. But in the American edition, the title
has become Carpe Diem.
Hiding
Black Interracial Crimes, by Walter Williams:
If you're like I am, you've heard scores of media
reports about the 2006 Duke University rape case,
in which three white lacrosse players were falsely
accused of raping a black stripper at a wild party
at the home of one of the team members. These guys,
convicted by the news media and Duke faculty, were
later found innocent. It turned out that Durham
County District Attorney Mike Nifong was running
for re-election. In seeking the black vote, he
concealed DNA evidence that would have exonerated
the lacrosse players.
We
Are All Prisoners Now, by Paul Craig Roberts:
At Christmas time it has been my habit to write a
column in remembrance of the many innocent people
in prisons whose lives have been stolen by the US
criminal justice (sic) system that is as inhumane
as it is indifferent to justice. Usually I retell
the cases of William Strong and Christophe Gaynor,
two men framed in the state of Virginia by
prosecutors and judges as wicked and corrupt as any
who served Hitler or Stalin.
A
Plague On Both Their Houses, by Mary Midgley:
Intelligent Design Theory, which claims to provide
a scientific rationale for Creationism, is now
highly popular in the United States and is gaining
ground in Britain. Considered as science it is
apparently vacuous, yet its influence is growing
rapidly. We surely need to try and understand this
phenomenon.
Big
Brother - DARPA's Control Freak Technology, by Kurt
Nimmo: According to Wired, the Pentagon is
"about to embark on a stunningly ambitious research
project designed to gather every conceivable bit of
information about a person's life, index all the
information and make it searchable?. What national
security experts and civil libertarians want to
know is, why would the Defense Department want to
do such a thing?"
Plato
for primaries, by Jonathan Wolff: Everywhere
you look, people are talking about teaching
philosophy to children. You missed it? Why, in the
past six months it has made the inside pages of at
least two educational supplements, and appeared on
a BBC webpage. By the standards of philosophy, this
is huge.
The
New New Philosophy: . . . But perhaps the most
striking thing is this: The study was conducted by
a philosopher, as a philosopher, in order to
produce a piece of . . . philosophy. It's part of a
recent movement known as "experimental philosophy,"
which has rudely challenged the way professional
philosophers like to think of themselves. Not only
are philosophers unaccustomed to gathering data;
many have also come to define themselves by their
disinclination to do so. The professional bailiwick
we've staked out is the empyrean of pure
thought.
In
Defense of Ron Paul, Part One - A Reply to Noam
Chomsky, by Keith Preston: Google the words
"Ron Paul" in any combination with buzzwords like
racist, sexist, fascist, nazi, homophobe,
xenophobe, nationalist, isolationist, anti-Semite
and other such bromides and one will be directed to
a wide assortment of left-leaning websites, blogs
and discussion forums where these canards are
loosely and thoughtlessly tossed at Dr. Paul.
Scientism
and Existentialism, by David Roemer: The
scientistic fallacy, as scientism is sometimes
called, occurs in different ways in different
fields of study. The most maleficent form of
scientism is the denial of existential truths. In
The New York Times on February 19, 2006,
Leon Weiseltier called scientism "one of the
dominant superstitions of our day" in a review of a
book about religion. One devotee of scientism is
Lewis Wolpert, author of a book published in 2007
also about religion.
I
think, therefore I earn, by Jessica Shepherd:
Philosophy graduates are suddenly all the rage with
employers. What can they possibly have to offer? "A
degree in philosophy? What are you going to do with
that then?" Philosophy students will tell you
they've been asked this question more times than
they care to remember.
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