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October
1, 2008
The Austrian
School and the Meltdown
by Rep. Ron Paul, MD
The
financial meltdown the economists of the Austrian
School predicted has arrived.
We are in this crisis because of an excess of
artificially created credit at the hands of the
Federal Reserve System. The solution being
proposed? More artificial credit by the Federal
Reserve. No liquidation of bad debt and
malinvestment is to be allowed. By doing more of
the same, we will only continue and intensify the
distortions in our economy -- all the capital
misallocation, all the malinvestment -- and prevent
the market's attempt to re-establish rational
pricing of houses and other assets.
Last night the president addressed the nation
about the financial crisis. There is no point in
going through his remarks line by line, since I'd
only be repeating what I've been saying over and
over -- not just for the past several days, but for
years and even decades.
Still, at least a few observations are
necessary.
The president assures us that his administration
"is working with Congress to address the root cause
behind much of the instability in our markets."
Care to take a guess at whether the Federal Reserve
and its money creation spree were even
mentioned?
We are told that "low interest rates" led to
excessive borrowing, but we are not told how these
low interest rates came about. They were a
deliberate policy of the Federal Reserve. As
always, artificially low interest rates distort the
market. Entrepreneurs engage in malinvestments --
investments that do not make sense in light of
current resource availability, that occur in more
temporally remote stages of the capital structure
than the pattern of consumer demand can support,
and that would not have been made at all if the
interest rate had been permitted to tell the truth
instead of being toyed with by the Fed.
Not a word about any of that, of course, because
Americans might then discover how the great wise
men in Washington caused this great debacle. Better
to keep scapegoating the mortgage industry or
"wildcat capitalism" (as if we actually have a pure
free market!).
Speaking about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the
president said: "Because these companies were
chartered by Congress, many believed they were
guaranteed by the federal government. This allowed
them to borrow enormous sums of money, fuel the
market for questionable investments, and put our
financial system at risk."
Doesn't that prove the foolishness of chartering
Fannie and Freddie in the first place? Doesn't that
suggest that maybe, just maybe, government may have
contributed to this mess? And of course, by bailing
out Fannie and Freddie, hasn't the federal
government shown that the "many" who "believed they
were guaranteed by the federal government" were in
fact correct?
Then come the scare tactics. If we don't give
dictatorial powers to the Treasury Secretary "the
stock market would drop even more, which would
reduce the value of your retirement account. The
value of your home could plummet." Left unsaid,
naturally, is that with the bailout and all the
money and credit that must be produced out of thin
air to fund it, the value of your retirement
account will drop anyway, because the value of the
dollar will suffer a precipitous decline. As for
home prices, they are obviously much too high, and
supply and demand cannot equilibrate if government
insists on propping them up.
It's the same destructive strategy that
government tried during the Great Depression: prop
up prices all costs. The Depression went on for
over a decade. On the other hand, when liquidation
was allowed to occur in the equally devastating
downturn of 1921, the economy recovered within less
than a year.
The president also tells us that Senators McCain
and Obama will join him at the White House today in
order to figure out how to get the bipartisan
bailout passed. The two senators would do their
country much more good if they stayed on the
campaign trail debating which one is the bigger
celebrity, or whatever it is that occupies their
attention these days.
F.A. Hayek won the Nobel Prize for showing how
central banks' manipulation of interest rates
creates the boom-bust cycle with which we are sadly
familiar. In 1932, in the depths of the Great
Depression, he described the foolish policies being
pursued in his day -- and which are being proposed,
just as destructively, in our own:
- Instead of furthering the inevitable
liquidation of the maladjustments brought about
by the boom during the last three years, all
conceivable means have been used to prevent that
readjustment from taking place; and one of these
means, which has been repeatedly tried though
without success, from the earliest to the most
recent stages of depression, has been this
deliberate policy of credit
expansion
.
-
- To combat the depression by a forced credit
expansion is to attempt to cure the evil by the
very means which brought it about; because we
are suffering from a misdirection of production,
we want to create further misdirection -- a
procedure that can only lead to a much more
severe crisis as soon as the credit expansion
comes to an end
. It is probably to this
experiment, together with the attempts to
prevent liquidation once the crisis had come,
that we owe the exceptional severity and
duration of the depression.
The only thing we learn from history, I am
afraid, is that we do not learn from history.
The very people who have spent the past several
years assuring us that the economy is fundamentally
sound, and who themselves foolishly cheered the
extension of all these novel kinds of mortgages,
are the ones who now claim to be the experts who
will restore prosperity! Just how spectacularly
wrong, how utterly without a clue, does someone
have to be before his expert status is called into
question?
Oh, and did you notice that the bailout is now
being called a "rescue plan"? I guess "bailout"
wasn't sitting too well with the American
people.
The very people who with somber faces tell us of
their deep concern for the spread of democracy
around the world are the ones most insistent on
forcing a bill through Congress that the American
people overwhelmingly oppose. The very fact that
some of you seem to think you're supposed to have a
voice in all this actually seems to annoy them.
I continue to urge you to contact your
representatives and give them a piece of your mind.
I myself am doing everything I can to promote the
correct point of view on the crisis. Be sure also
to educate yourselves on these subjects -- the
Campaign for Liberty blog is an excellent place to
start. Read the posts, ask questions in the comment
section, and learn.
H.G. Wells once said that civilization was in a
race between education and catastrophe. Let us
learn the truth and spread it as far and wide as
our circumstances allow. For the truth is the
greatest weapon we have.
Paul
Archive
Dr. Ron Paul is a Republican
member of Congress from Texas.
Because
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