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March 13, 2009
Trading
Places
by Howie Rich
For years, the Communist Chinese have been the
butt of American jokes for their Maoist principles
and centralized government planning.
They've also received scathing international
criticism for their at times brutal suppression of
human rights -- and deservedly so.
But in the years since Tiananmen Square, China
has moved steadily towards a market-based economic
system while America has racked up increasingly
large deficits for centralized, socialist spending
-- with a growing percentage of our accumulating
public debt held by Chinese creditors.
Also, China has taken steps to improve its human
rights record in recent years, while American
liberties have gradually eroded under the weight of
an ever-expanding federal government.
Clearly repression and communism are still the
laws of the land in China, but it is worth noting
how one nation waxes and the other wanes --
particularly when crisis comes.
Just look at the divergent approaches taken by
the American and Chinese governments with respect
to their economic "stimulus" plans.
Like our country, China is operating under the
flawed assumption that investing in additional
government will somehow bring about economic
revival.
But, there are critical differences in these two
superpowers' positioning and plans which could make
the economic downturn much easier for China to
manage.
Supporters of the "American approach" like point
to the fact that China is ballooning its deficit
from 0.4 percent to 3 percent of its national
income to pay for its plan -- but that argument
ignores the fact that America's deficit currently
stands at 12 percent of its national income.
We also have an $11 trillion (and climbing)
national debt -- of which China was holding $681
billion prior to the most recent U.S. bailout.
China, meanwhile, entered 2009 with nearly $2
trillion in foreign currency reserves.
There are also huge differences in the "meat" of
the two plans.
In China, the majority of the stimulus package
was actually devoted to bricks and mortar. Huge
chunks were also devoted to business tax breaks,
and a full quarter of the package was devoted to
rebuilding an area of the country devastated by the
Sichuan earthquake last May.
Has it worked? Few trust China's optimistic
estimates of 8 percent growth in 2009, but the
country's lending, spending and consumer confidence
has largely stabilized.
By contrast, America has poured billions of
dollars into the same failed financial institutions
and government bureaucracies that conspired to
create its current crisis -- not surprisingly, to
no avail.
The first bailout failed miserably to stimulate
lending or lift the Dow Jones out of its doldrums,
while the second bailout resulted in another
massive selloff on Wall Street over fears that it
"didn't do enough to stimulate the economy."
Talk about the understatement of the
millennium.
While China at least pursued its flawed
interventionist philosophy (it's still a communist
country, remember) with a modicum of common sense,
America has plunged herself deeper into big
government insanity.
For example, billions of dollars intended for
small businesses were stripped from the final
version of the "stimulus" package, which ended up
as a liberal special interest goodie bag routed
through the same old inefficient, unaccountable
agencies.
Also, China pumped in its "stimulus" money
immediately where it would have the maximum effect,
whereas the U.S. approach is to engage in a
protracted, multi-year federal spend fest on
government programs with no immediate economic
benefit.
In fact, the Treasury agency charged with
picking winners and losers in our marketplace
(where was that in the Constitution?) recently
acquired four floors of DC office space by agreeing
to a ten year lease -- a sign they plan on sticking
around for awhile.
Thinking that government can rescue a national
economy under any circumstances is wrong-headed,
but the clear differences in China's reaction to
this crisis and America's are telling indicators of
the direction each country is moving.
And sadly, America doesn't seem likely to
reverse course anytime soon.
Howie
Rich is Chairman of Americans
for Limited
Government.
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